The 2021 Post-secondary Attainment Index for CPS ninth-graders is 27.0%, essentially unchanged from 2020¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associationalr2·q2
Currency · newest study 2022 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2025: local conditions change quickly
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? If current rates hold, 27 of 100 current CPS ninth-graders would complete a college credential within 10 years, nearly identical to the 2020 PAI of 27.1%. → Mahaffie 2022
Evidence¶
Mahaffie 2022¶
Mahaffie, S., Malone, M., Usher, A., Mukherjee, D., & Nagaoka, J. (2022). The educational attainment of Chicago Public Schools students: 2021. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/tool/cps/
q2 · i? · associational · r2
District-level descriptive analysis combining 2021 four-year graduation and enrollment rates with 2014 six-year completion rates. The report states the 2021 PAI of 27.0% is "almost the same as the 2020 PAI of 27.1%" and is a summary, not a prediction.
"If 100 ninth-graders began in CPS today, 27 would earn a college credential by the time they're about 25 years old, if current rates of attainment stayed the same."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- If current rates hold, 27 percent of current CPS ninth-graders will complete any college credential within 10 years (2019 PAI) — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
- The 2020 Post-Secondary Attainment Index is 27 percent, and no race/ethnicity and gender group reaches the 75 percent aspiration benchmark — related
- The 2021 PAI ranges widely by race/ethnicity and gender, from 11.6% for Black young men to 67.3% for Asian/Pacific Islander young women, and no group reaches the 75% aspiration level — related
- The 2023 Post-secondary Attainment Index for CPS ninth-graders is 31%, up 0.4 percentage points from 2022 — related
- Attainment indices vary sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black young men face a projected PAI of 12.6 percent versus 62.0 percent for Asian/Pacific Islander young women — related
- CPS's Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index rose 7 percentage points, from 11 percent for 2006 ninth-graders to 18 percent for 2016 ninth-graders — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
cps-2021-pai-27-percent |
title |
The 2021 Post-secondary Attainment Index for CPS ninth-graders is 27.0%, essentially unchanged from 2020 |
description |
The 2021 Post-secondary Attainment Index for CPS ninth-graders is 27.0%, essentially unchanged from 2020 |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
moderate |
newest_evidence |
2022 |
recheck_by |
2025 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — mahaffie-2022 |
Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.