The 2023 Post-secondary Attainment Index for CPS ninth-graders is 31%, up 0.4 percentage points from 2022¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2024 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2027: local conditions change quickly

Subclaims¶

q2 i? If current rates hold, 31% of current CPS ninth-graders would complete a college credential within 10 years, a 0.4 percentage point increase over the 2022 PAI of 30.2%. → Mahaffie 2024

Evidence¶

Mahaffie 2024¶

Mahaffie, S., Usher, A., Nagaoka, J., & McKoy, D. (2024). The educational attainment of Chicago Public Schools students: 2023. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/tool/cps/

q2 · i? · associational · r2

District-level descriptive analysis of CPS administrative data combining 2023 graduation rates, 2023 immediate enrollment rates, and 2017 six-year completion rates. The report states the 2023 PAI is "30.6%, which we report rounding to whole numbers as 31%".

"The 2023 PAI of 30.6%, which we report rounding to whole numbers as 31%, shows a 0.4 percentage point increase over the 2022 PAI of 30.2%."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• An estimated 31 million or more US students over the last 20 years enrolled in but did not complete post-secondary education — related
• The 2021 Post-secondary Attainment Index for CPS ninth-graders is 27.0%, essentially unchanged from 2020 — related
• If current rates hold, 27 percent of current CPS ninth-graders will complete any college credential within 10 years (2019 PAI) — related
• The 2020 Post-Secondary Attainment Index is 27 percent, and no race/ethnicity and gender group reaches the 75 percent aspiration benchmark — related
• The 2021 PAI ranges widely by race/ethnicity and gender, from 11.6% for Black young men to 67.3% for Asian/Pacific Islander young women, and no group reaches the 75% aspiration level — related
• Attainment indices vary sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black young men face a projected PAI of 12.6 percent versus 62.0 percent for Asian/Pacific Islander young women — related
• CPS's Bachelor's Degree Attainment Index rose 7 percentage points, from 11 percent for 2006 ninth-graders to 18 percent for 2016 ninth-graders — related
• Bachelor's DAI varies sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black and Latino young men are projected at 10 and 13 percent versus a 19 percent district average — related