Graduation rates by age 19 in Chicago varied substantially by race/ethnicity and gender, with African-American boys lowest (39 percent) and Asian girls highest (85 percent)¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2005 · checked against its sources 2026-10-16 (automated, 1 of 1 entry) · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2010: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Among boys, 39 percent of African-Americans graduated by age 19, compared to 51 percent of Latinos, 58 percent of whites, and 76 percent of Asians; girls' rates were higher in every group. → Allensworth 2005

Evidence¶

Allensworth 2005¶

Allensworth, E. (2005). Graduation and Dropout Trends in Chicago: A look at cohorts of students from 1991 through 2004, Report Highlights. Consortium on Chicago School Research, University of Chicago. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/graduation-and-dropout-trends-chicago-look-cohorts-students-1991-2004

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Descriptive cohort analysis disaggregated by race/ethnicity and gender from CPS administrative records. The brief reports "Graduation rates among girls were much higher" across all four racial/ethnic groups, with printed percentages ranging from 39 to 85 percent.

"Among boys, only 39 percent of African-Americans graduated by age 19, compared to 51 percent of Latinos, 58 percent of whites, and 76 percent of Asians. Graduation rates among girls were much higher: 57 percent of African-Americans graduated by age 19, 65 percent of Latinas, 71 percent of whites, and 85 percent of Asians."

Discussion¶

Learner Variables¶

• Gender — predictor: outcomes differ by group: a gap reflecting circumstances and treatment, not a cause
• Race and Ethnicity — predictor: outcomes differ by group: a gap reflecting circumstances and treatment, not a cause

Related Claims¶

• Over 40 percent of Chicago Public Schools students drop out by age 19, with a slight downward trend across the 1991–1994 cohorts — related
• African-American students and mostly African-American South Side communities showed less improvement in graduation and dropout rates than other students and North Side communities — related
• Gains in sophomore performance were unequal: about one in five Latino and Black young men were off-track at the end of sophomore year — related
• Racial achievement gaps in Chicago increased in all three eras, with African American students falling behind all other groups, especially in Era 3 — related
• Graduation rates improved for all racial, ethnic, and economic groups, but racial and ethnic gaps increased while gender, poverty, and disability gaps declined — related
• Only about 53 percent of CPS students who were first-time freshmen in 2000-01 took the PSAE within four years, with rates varying by race and gender — related
• Among Barton's class of 1993, more girls than boys graduated within five years (25 of 46 versus 19 of 35) — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• Class of 1997 outcomes differed by gender, with girls graduating at higher counts than boys within five years — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• Kindergarten entry-age effects do not differ by gender or race — related
• Student test effort differs substantially across student gender and racial subgroups — related
• Black and Hispanic students attained postsecondary readiness and success outcomes at substantially lower rates than White students — related
• Black and Latinx students were less likely than their peers to be in the On-Track category, and within each race/ethnicity group boys were less likely to be on-track than girls — related
• CPS high school graduation rates show large gaps by race/ethnicity and gender, with young men graduating at lower rates than young women within every race/ethnicity group — possibly the same claim (merge candidate)
• Senior-year advanced coursework is unevenly distributed by race/ethnicity among CPS graduates — related
• At-risk identification is demographically patterned, with Black, Hispanic, and male students more likely to be identified — related
• AI/AN youth dropout rates reach up to 50 percent, and college matriculation and retention rates remain very low compared to White peers — related
• Black and Latinx students generally feel less safe at school than their White peers — related
• Gateway students graduate at high rates, including 100% of African American, Latina/o, and students with disabilities — related
• SuaCode survey respondents were predominantly male (69.64%), aged 20–29 (70.04%), and in college/university education (76.73%) — related
• Gender is unevenly distributed across participation profiles: boys are overrepresented among disconnected and girls among diligent students — related
• High school civic engagement is associated with higher graduation rates for all students regardless of age at entry, race, or gender — related
• About 54 percent of Chicago Public Schools students graduated from CPS by age 19 for the 1998 age-13 cohort and by the fourth year for the 1999 freshman cohort — related
• Within the same neighborhoods and schools, boys and Black students are more likely to be overage for grade, a proxy for prior retention — related
• Systemwide CPS first-year on-track percentages ranged from 44.8 to 50.8 across the 1997–2001 cohorts — related
• Graduates spent more semesters in the grades and in the high school than non-graduates, and graduated girls spent longer than graduated boys — related
• A significant retention x ethnicity x gender interaction indicates the negative effect of retention is strongest for African American and Hispanic girls — related