On-Track gains were largest in the lowest-performing schools and among African American and Latino males¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study (2 entries) · design r1–r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2016 · checked against its sources 2026-10-20 (automated, 2 of 2 entries) · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Bottom-quartile schools' On-Track rates rose 37 percentage points, from 46 to 83 percent, by 2015. → Pitcher 2016 (2) q2 i? On-Track rates rose from 47 to 77 percent among African American males and from 55 to 80 percent among Latino males between 2006 and 2015. → Pitcher 2016 (2)

Evidence¶

Pitcher 2016¶

Pitcher, M. A., Duncan, S. J., Nagaoka, J., Moeller, E., Dickerson, L., & Beechum, N. O. (2016). The Network for College Success: A Capacity-Building Model for School Improvement. University of Chicago. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/network-college-success-capacity-building-model-school-improvement

q2 · i? · design · r1

Descriptive subgroup analysis reported in the Introduction. The paper reports bottom-quartile schools increased "by 37 percentage points, from 46 to 83 percent"; no effect size is printed.

"On-Track rates for high schools in the bottom quartile of On-Track rates in 2006 increased by 37 percentage points, from 46 to 83 percent, by 2015."

Pitcher 2016 (2)¶

Pitcher, M. A., Duncan, S. J., Nagaoka, J., Moeller, E., Dickerson, L., & Beechum, N. O. (2016). The Network for College Success: A Capacity-Building Model for School Improvement. University of Chicago. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/network-college-success-capacity-building-model-school-improvement

q2 · i? · design · r2

Descriptive subgroup trends in the same Introduction passage, which states improvements were largest among African American and Latino males. Percentages are descriptive; no test is printed.

"Between 2006 and 2015, On-Track rates increased from 47 to 77 percent among African American males and from 55 to 80 percent among Latino males."

Discussion¶

Learner Variables¶

• Gender — predictor: outcomes differ by group: a gap reflecting circumstances and treatment, not a cause
• Race and Ethnicity — predictor: outcomes differ by group: a gap reflecting circumstances and treatment, not a cause

Related Claims¶

• On-track gains were largest for students with the lowest incoming skills and for African American males — related
• Districtwide ninth-grade on-track rates rose 25 percentage points between 2007 and 2013 across racial, gender, and achievement subgroups — related
• Freshman OnTrack rates improved most among the highest-risk students, including Black and Latinx young men and the lowest-achieving entrants — related
• Freshman OnTrack improvements were largest in the lowest-performing schools, with bottom-quartile schools gaining 33 percentage points — related
• CPS Freshman OnTrack rates rose 25 percentage points, from 64 percent in 2003 to 89 percent in 2017 — related
• CPS Freshman OnTrack rates rose 24 percentage points, from 64 percent for the Class of 2006 to 88 percent for the Class of 2019 — related
• At-risk identification is demographically patterned, with Black, Hispanic, and male students more likely to be identified — related
• In the decade or so to 2017, Chicago Public Schools saw large rises in freshman on-track rates (2006 to 2017), graduation, and college enrollment, with the greatest on-track increases among Black and Latino males — a broader claim this one bears on