CPS Freshman OnTrack rates rose 24 percentage points, from 64 percent for the Class of 2006 to 88 percent for the Class of 2019¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2017 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person

Subclaims¶

q2 i? The share of first-time ninth-graders on-track (five or more credits, no more than one semester core course failed) rose dramatically over the decade. → Nagaoka 2017

Evidence¶

Nagaoka 2017¶

Nagaoka, J., Seeskin, A., & Coca, V.M. (2017). The educational attainment of Chicago Public Schools students: 2016. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/data

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Descriptive trend analysis of CPS Freshman OnTrack rates (Figure 6; Class of 2019 N=18,878). The report states “of the Class of 2019, 88 percent were on-track,” attributing the rise to CPS paying more attention to freshman year course passing.

"Of the Class of 2006, only 64 percent of students were on-track at the end of their freshman year; of the Class of 2019, 88 percent were on-track, an increase of 24 percentage points."

Discussion¶

Related Claims¶

• CPS Freshman OnTrack rates rose 25 percentage points, from 64 percent in 2003 to 89 percent in 2017 — related
• CPS Freshman OnTrack rates rose from 58 to 89 percent between 2007 and 2017 while graduation rates rose 19 percentage points — related
• Freshman OnTrack improvements were largest in the lowest-performing schools, with bottom-quartile schools gaining 33 percentage points — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• Freshman OnTrack rates improved most among the highest-risk students, including Black and Latinx young men and the lowest-achieving entrants — a narrower finding that bears on this claim
• Citywide freshman on-track rates improved from 48 to 58 percent over a decade, with declines tied to increased course-taking — related
• CPS Freshman OnTrack rates rose 28 percentage points from 61 percent (2007) to 89 percent (2019), then flattened in recent years — related
• Chicago's district-wide Freshman On-Track rate improved from 61 percent in 2006 to 85 percent in 2015 — related
• On-Track gains were largest in the lowest-performing schools and among African American and Latino males — related
• Chicago Public Schools improved dramatically between 1987 and 2017, with the biggest gains among students of color and low-income students — related
• In the decade or so to 2017, Chicago Public Schools saw large rises in freshman on-track rates (2006 to 2017), graduation, and college enrollment, with the greatest on-track increases among Black and Latino males — related