Projection approach combining absenteeism-literature estimates with summer learning pattern analyses¶
Research Method · All research methods
Evidence · 3 claims (3 for) · 1 study (1 associational),q2· 0 of 1 report an effect size · 3 claims rest on one study
Description¶
The study's method is a projection framework rather than a direct measurement of pandemic learning loss. As the abstract states, the authors "produced a series of projections of COVID-19-related learning loss based on (a) estimates from absenteeism literature and (b) analyses of summer learning patterns of 5 million students." It treats closure-period learning as analogous to documented absenteeism and summer-loss patterns, yielding ranges of expected fall 2020 achievement rather than point estimates.
Accounts¶
- Projection approach combining absenteeism-literature estimates with summer learning pattern analyses: The study's method is a projection framework rather than a direct measurement of pandemic learning loss. As the abstract states, the authors "produced a series of projections of COVID-19-related learning loss based on (a) estimates from absenteeism literature and (b) analyses of summer learning patterns of 5 million students." It treats closure-period learning as analogous to documented absenteeism and summer-loss patterns, yielding ranges of expected fall 2020 achievement rather than point estimates. (Megan Kuhfeld et al. (2020))
Claims¶
- Projected fall 2020 reading gains for returning students are approximately 63 to 68% of a typical school year's learning gains [+M]
- Projected fall 2020 mathematics gains for returning students are approximately 37 to 50% of a typical school year's learning gains [+M]
- Projected COVID-19 learning loss was not universal, with the top third of students potentially making gains in reading [+M]
Related Research Methods¶
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Key Sources¶
- Megan Kuhfeld, James Soland, Beth Tarasawa, Angela Johnson, Erik Ruzek, Jing Liu. (2020). Projecting the potential impact of COVID-19 school closures on academic achievement. Educational Researcher, 49(8), 549–565. https://doi.org/10.3102/0013189X20965918
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
research-method |
id |
projection-approach-combining-absenteeism-literature-estimates-with-summer-learning-patter |
title |
Projection approach combining absenteeism-literature estimates with summer learning pattern analyses |
description |
The study's method is a projection framework rather than a direct measurement of pandemic learning loss. |
status |
review |
moved_from |
theory/covid-learning-loss-projection-approach |
generated |
by process:sweep-kinds on 2026-10-10 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — megan-kuhfeld-2020 |
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