College completion among immediate enrollees in the CPS class of 2015 shows large race/ethnicity and gender gaps, with fewer than a third of Black and Latino young men completing a bachelor's degree¶

Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · associational r2 · q2
Currency · newest study 2023 · not yet checked against its sources · not reviewed by a person · recheck by 2028: baselines and conditions change

Subclaims¶

q2 i? Among Black and Latino young men in the CPS graduating class of 2015 who immediately enrolled in college, fewer than a third completed a bachelor's degree within six years, and young men were less likely to complete a college degree or certificate than young women of the same race/ethnicity. → Usher 2023

Evidence¶

Usher 2023¶

Usher, A., Mahaffie, S., & Nagaoka, J. (2023). The educational attainment of Chicago Public Schools students: 2022. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Consortium on School Research. https://toandthrough.uchicago.edu/tool/cps/

q2 · i? · associational · r2

Descriptive table of six-year college completion rates among immediate enrollees in the CPS graduating class of 2015, disaggregated by race/ethnicity and gender. Total completion ranged from 29.7% for Black young men to 79.5% for Asian/Pacific Islander young women, against an all-students rate of 48.7%.

"Among Black and Latino young men in the CPS graduating class of 2015, fewer than a third of students who immediately enrolled in college completed a bachelor’s degree within six years."

Discussion¶

Learner Variables¶

• Gender — predictor: outcomes differ by group: a gap reflecting circumstances and treatment, not a cause

Related Claims¶

• College completion rates among immediate enrollees varied widely by community area, ranging from 24 to 74 percent for the class of 2013 — related
• Attainment indices vary sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black young men face a projected PAI of 12.6 percent versus 62.0 percent for Asian/Pacific Islander young women — related
• Six-year college completion among the CPS class of 2015 varied sharply by enrollment pathway: 55.8% for immediate four-year enrollees, 32.5% for immediate two-year enrollees, and 7.8% for delayed/non-enrollees — related
• Among 2014 CPS graduates who immediately enrolled in college, 46% completed a credential within six years, with large gaps by enrollment pathway — related
• Projected bachelor's degree attainment is far lower for Black and Latino young men (10 and 14 percent) than the CPS district average of 20 percent — related
• Bachelor's DAI varies sharply by race/ethnicity and gender: Black and Latino young men are projected at 10 and 13 percent versus a 19 percent district average — related
• Gains in sophomore performance were unequal: about one in five Latino and Black young men were off-track at the end of sophomore year — related
• Young women were more likely than young men to both immediately enroll in and persist through college, in both four-year and two-year colleges — related
• Among 2014 CPS graduates who immediately enrolled in a bachelor's-degree-granting institution, 30% completed within four years versus 51% within six years — related
• College completion among CPS 2017 immediate enrollees shows large disparities by race/ethnicity and gender, with fewer than one-third of Black and Latino young men completing a bachelor's degree — related
• A record high 7,368 students from the CPS class of 2018 graduated from college with a degree or certificate — related
• Four- versus six-year completion gaps of 15–25 percentage points appeared across academic and demographic groups, with Black young men at 13% four-year and 31% six-year completion — related
• Black graduates are underrepresented among associate degree earners in 33 of 41 examined states, with only three states at parity for bachelor's degrees — related
• College enrollment gaps by race, gender, and socioeconomic background among CPS graduates were driven primarily by differences in four-year enrollment — related
• CPS high school graduation rates show large gaps by race/ethnicity and gender, with young men graduating at lower rates than young women within every race/ethnicity group — related
• Georgia State's GPS Advising paired prediction with advising capacity and retention grants, and its strongest reported outcome was narrowed equity gaps rather than prediction accuracy — related