Chicago's district-wide Freshman On-Track rate improved from 61 percent in 2006 to 85 percent in 2015¶
Claim · All claims
Evidence · 1 study · designr1·q2
Currency · newest study 2016 · checked against its sources 2026-10-20 (automated, 1 of 1 entry) · not reviewed by a person · overdue for a recheck since 2019: local conditions change quickly
Subclaims¶
Reading the evidence codes
q is the design tier, i the impact, n the sample, and the kind with its r
the rigour judged within that kind: what each code means.
This claim: no standardized effect is recorded in observations/ for it yet, so no benchmark reading is possible.
q2 i? The district's On-Track rate rose from 61 percent in 2006 to 85 percent in 2015. → Pitcher 2016
Evidence¶
Pitcher 2016¶
Pitcher, M. A., Duncan, S. J., Nagaoka, J., Moeller, E., Dickerson, L., & Beechum, N. O. (2016). The Network for College Success: A Capacity-Building Model for School Improvement. University of Chicago. https://consortium.uchicago.edu/publications/network-college-success-capacity-building-model-school-improvement
q2 · i? · design · r1
Descriptive trend reported in the Executive Summary and Introduction, illustrated in Figure 1. The paper reports the district On-Track rate "improved from 61 to 85 percent in 2015"; no effect size or inferential test is printed.
"Since 2006, the year NCS was founded, the district's On-Track rate has improved from 61 to 85 percent in 2015."
Discussion¶
Related Claims¶
- Sophomore OnTrack rose from 61 to 85 percent and predicts graduation, but 30 percent of non-graduates were on-track as sophomores — related
- CPS Freshman OnTrack rates rose 28 percentage points from 61 percent (2007) to 89 percent (2019), then flattened in recent years — related
- CPS Freshman OnTrack rates rose from 58 to 89 percent between 2007 and 2017 while graduation rates rose 19 percentage points — related
- CPS Freshman OnTrack rates rose 24 percentage points, from 64 percent for the Class of 2006 to 88 percent for the Class of 2019 — related
- Freshman OnTrack remains a strong predictor of high school graduation even as on-track rates have risen — related
- CPS Freshman OnTrack rates rose 25 percentage points, from 64 percent in 2003 to 89 percent in 2017 — related
- Schools vary widely in freshman on-track rates even among students with similar backgrounds — related
- In the decade or so to 2017, Chicago Public Schools saw large rises in freshman on-track rates (2006 to 2017), graduation, and college enrollment, with the greatest on-track increases among Black and Latino males — related
Page metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
type |
claim |
id |
cps-on-track-rate-61-to-85-percent-2006-2015 |
title |
Chicago's district-wide Freshman On-Track rate improved from 61 percent in 2006 to 85 percent in 2015 |
description |
Chicago's district-wide Freshman On-Track rate improved from 61 percent in 2006 to 85 percent in 2015 |
status |
review |
evidence_strength |
weak |
newest_evidence |
2016 |
source_checked |
2026-10-20 |
recheck_by |
2019 |
generated |
by process:wiki-ingest on 2026-10-09 |
trust |
unverified — no one has confirmed this page's content |
sources |
1 — pitcher-2016 |
Frontmatter is the page's machine-readable record — see the Schema & Guide.